Techno and commercial analysis model for energy assets at Baltic Sea Ports

The transition to hydrogen-derived fuels requires strategic investment decisions in energy infrastructure. The H2Deri@BSP techno- and commercial analysis model provides ports and industry stakeholders with a practical tool to assess the viability of renewable energy assets and fuel supply chains in the Baltic Sea Region.

From potential to investment-ready insights

Ports are increasingly becoming energy hubs, but identifying the right investment opportunities remains complex. This model supports port authorities and large enterprises in evaluating the local potential for renewable energy generation, hydrogen production, and derivative fuel supply, enabling informed decision-making and strategic planning.

It links technical feasibility with commercial viability, helping stakeholders understand where investments can generate value while supporting decarbonisation goals.

Model overview: how it supports decision-making

The analysis model provides a structured framework combining technical, economic, and market perspectives, including:

• Resource and asset assessment: evaluation of renewable energy potential (e.g. wind, solar) and available port infrastructure
• Technology pathways: analysis of hydrogen production and conversion into derivatives such as methanol and ammonia
• Cost modelling: CAPEX and OPEX estimation across the value chain, from energy generation to bunkering
• Market and demand analysis: identification of regional demand, maritime fuel uptake, and supply chain opportunities
• Commercial feasibility: assessment of business cases, revenue streams, and return on investment scenarios

By integrating these components, the model enables ports to move from high-level concepts to quantified investment cases, supporting both internal planning and external investor engagement.

Unlocking investments and enabling supply chains

The model is designed not only as an analytical tool, but as a decision-support instrument for attracting investments. It helps ports demonstrate the viability of projects, identify priority assets, and align infrastructure development with market demand.

This directly contributes to the creation of regional supply chains for hydrogen derivatives, enabling ports to play a central role in supplying clean fuels to the maritime sector.

Supporting the energy transition in the Baltic Sea Region

By providing a harmonised and transferable approach, the model supports ports across the Baltic Sea Region in accelerating the deployment of renewable energy assets and alternative fuel infrastructure.

It enables stakeholders to reduce uncertainty, prioritise investments, and build scalable solutions that contribute to a climate-neutral maritime industry.

Get involved

Ports, investors, and industry stakeholders are invited to explore and apply the techno-economic model.

👉 Click here to download the deliverable to access the model methodology, assumptions, and analysis framework.
👉 Contact the H2Deri@BSP project to collaborate on applying and improving the techno-economic model.

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